The Takeover Prediction Thread

This cannot drag on forever, my gut feel is that we're on the home stretch and that we may hear something early next week.

What do you predict and why?

I'm opting for a No next week. That may turn into a 'No for now, you need to do x, y and z and then reapply' possibly but I'm torn between thinking of legal reasons for a no coupled with the strength of the Saudi's, not to mention the Reuben Bros influence at governmental levels also but trading that off is the negative vibes, the Qatar influence and the fact that good things don't happen to us.

I'm therefore going for a no next week.

This weekend man, I've been saying it for weeks.

No - following week (by end of Sunday 5th July)

Everything's happening on the 4th July.

12 Yes's Vs 8 No's right now. Be interesting to see if that ratio is maintained as/when more votes are placed.

I've convinced myself it wont happen now. Fingers crossed I will be wrong..

haven't a clue

12 Yes's Vs 8 No's right now. Be interesting to see if that ratio is maintained as/when more votes are placed.

Lots of work still to be done imo. I can see it going for another month or two at least. Those lawyers on youtube were saying the other day the Saudi's and PIF will have to build a case in response to all the unhappy parties in terms of laying out a map of how they plan to deal with it all. Lot's of big players to keep happy so work to be done.

Lots of work still to be done imo. I can see it going for another month or two at least. Those lawyers on youtube were saying the other day the Saudi's and PIF will have to build a case in response to all the unhappy parties in terms of laying out a map of how they plan to deal with it all. Lot's of big players to keep happy so work to be done.

Did you opt for a no or a yes IC?

I spoilt my ballot paper.

(Yes - after that point)

I voted no and by end of next week.  Just don't think it will happen.  Tin foil hat stuff.

I spoilt my ballot paper.

 

(Yes - after that point)

Interesting that over half of voters feel next week is the week, regardless of whether they think yes or no.

Just don’t see what else could delay a decision now.

I think it will happen within the next couple of weeks.

Despite the outrage it appears they don’t fail the test.

It'll be a no and I think that'll be confirmed by next Friday.

CONFIRMED IN THE NEXT HOUR

I’m predicting early-September

Initial (public) rejection by the end of next week and quick (in comparison) successful appeal.

I spoilt my ballot paper.

 

(Yes - after that point)

 

Interesting that over half of voters feel next week is the week, regardless of whether they think yes or no.

I can't see it personally but I think it's partially because that initial spark of 'any day now' anticipation is well dissipated and I've accepted we're in for the long haul. Still think it will happen though.

Think there might be another couple of takeover threads before this is confirmed or rejected..

I spoilt my ballot paper.

 

(Yes - after that point)

 

Interesting that over half of voters feel next week is the week, regardless of whether they think yes or no.

WTO Report out, so nothing really to stop them making the decision. I've gone yes as I was expecting the WTO report to come out stating KSA were directly involved in the transmission and it certainly didn't. Had the report reflected they had been directly involved then I would have said no chance for it passing. There is also the issue besides that in the case of PIF being a total separate legal entity.

honestly though the sooner this is decided one way or another the better, sick of reading about it but at the same time can't stop checking

No and by the end of next week

I think no and it will drag on for a while yet.

Initial (public) rejection by the end of next week and quick (in comparison) successful appeal.

That crossed my mind too, mentioned it in the opening post. I could see that happening too.

No question, the PL need to have a rock solid legal basis whatever they decide because they're gonna face a backlash and subsequent legal appeals either way.