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Jagten

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  1. We have extremely limited information, do not properly understand his diagnosis, and don't even know if it's the same knee. Of course it's possible we screwed up, but I think the uncertainty is so high it's basically impossible to have any conviction re our mistakes.
  2. Gary O'Neil didn't improve Bournemouth and they got better after he left. You're allowed to think whatever you want of Howe, but pitching Gary O'Neil as a better manager is obviously insane
  3. Man City initially handled their wealth poorly, and it took them ages to develop a coherent strategy. In retrospect, Gary Cook probably held them back a lot
  4. For balance, at Monaco, where he probably had the highest degree of autonomy, Paul Mitchell spent 200m euros and mostly missed. That said, it’s always difficult to determine the extent of his responsibility for any of these signings.
  5. They are still one of the most well-capitalised clubs in France and have spent a lot of money, if not offset by a few large sales. In his three years as sporting director they spent over 200m euros (huge for the France) and appointed four managers. Very few of those decisions look, right now, especially successful.
  6. His record at Monaco is ... not great?
  7. Agreed, but I don't think he's an obvious starter for anyone outside of the bottom three. The standard of the league is extremely high, and his function is heavily dependent on the system.
  8. I agree with this. I think the current management team probably have to face existential risk themselves before jettisoning Howe. Presently, I think we are a long way from a decision like that
  9. Jagten

    Alexander Isak

    I think Bruno is more important to the team, but limited realistic forward options make this true. I couldn't give you a name that wouldn't have big risk and cost loads
  10. Both things can be true: you can enjoy football for everything that cannot be quantified and also enjoy what can be in pursuit of some truth. People don't like xG because it is the most popular latent statistic, one which has to be approximated via methods that are not understood.
  11. We have no idea what's he responsible for.
  12. It's actually an exponential moving average FWIW, so it does weight toward more recent games. We can look at the individual games too and they weren't good. We were, for example, very lucky to win at Forest.
  13. Depends how much you care about estimating latent quantities from noisy data (results), especially with a small sample size. I don't visually think performances have improved either.
  14. This is just high-variance outcomes from high-volume chances, both for and against. The underlying trend has not improved. (Villa was good though.)
  15. Benteke was a Rodgers buy. The transfer committee, and Iain Graham's influence, grew significantly in the summer of 2016, which is why I mention that period specifically. They built, for a time, the best team on the planet, without spending best-team-on-the-planet money. Circa 80m for Mane and Salah was obscene. Any team would be do well to replicate their success from that period. I disagree with your characterization of their process: it was data-led value, which correlated with, but does not explicitly target, distressed sellers - and a process that Klopp often disagreed with (e.g., it is reported he wanted Brandt over Salah). I have no specific thoughts on our current process, other than I wish we had better data people. I only hope we did not see Ashworth leaving as an opportunity to concentrate our bet on Howe's coaching and talent spotting abilities. He of course should have an important role. I think Howe is mostly quite good at recruitment and better than his critics think.
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